2015 Measles Outbreak: To Vaccinate Or Not?

All of this hullabaloo over measles  vaccinations, if you believe that it works, get the shots for your kids.  If it works as claimed, another kid not getting the shots comes down with the measles they cannot give it to your kids.  Either the vaccines work or they do not.  Yet you hear arguments like this, “Some people are just incredibly selfish” by skipping shots, said Dr. James Cherry, a pediatric disease expert at the University of California, Los Angeles.  If the shots work what is the danger to those who have gotten the shots?

You also hear this a lot, “Others have delayed getting their children vaccinated because they still believe now-discredited research linking the measles vaccine to autism.”

After reviewing some of the CDC data received by Dr. Thompson, as well as data records acquired through freedom of information submissions, Prof. Hooker discovered that the CDC has known since 2001 that children exposed to thimerosal in utero were 800 percent more likely to regress into autism.  This data was intentionally excluded from the CDC paper published in the journal Pediatrics in an effort to disprove a thimerosal-autism association.  During the radio broadcast, Prof. Hooker unearthed evidence that the CDC has known for a decade that children receiving the MMR vaccines on schedule were nearly 300 percent more likely to regress into autism compared to children whose parents decided to withhold the vaccine until after the child was older.  Source:

And this:

California-Oregon Unvaccinated Children Survey Links Vaccines & Autism

From Generation Rescue
http://educate-yourself.org/vcd/califoregonunvaccinatedchildrensurvey03nov07.shtml
November 3, 2007

California-Oregon Unvaccinated Children Survey Links Vaccines & Autism (Nov. 3, 2007)

http://www.generationrescue.org/survey.html

In 1983, the Centers for Disease Control recommended a total of 10 vaccines for our children. In 2007, the CDC recommends 36, an increase of 260%. Yet, no studies have ever been done to compare neurological disorder (“ND”) rates of unvaccinated children to vaccinated children. We commissioned a national market research firm to survey more than 13,000 children in California and Oregon. Read the results here.

Cal-Oregon Unvaccinated Survey

“We surveyed over 9,000 boys in California and Oregon and found that vaccinated boys had a 155% greater chance of having a neurological disorder like ADHD or autism than unvaccinated boys.” -Generation Rescue, June 26, 2007

Methodology

Generation Rescue commissioned an independent opinion research firm, SurveyUSA of Verona NJ (http://www.surveyusa.com/), to conduct a telephone survey in nine counties in California and Oregon. Counties were selected by Generation Rescue.

Interviews were successfully completed in 11,817 households with one or more children age 4 to 17. From those 11,817 households, data on 17,674 children was gathered. Of the 17,674 children inventoried, 991 were described as being completely unvaccinated. For each unvaccinated child, a health battery was administered.

Generation Rescue chose to use telephone interviews with parents to gather data on children, so as to closely mirror the methodology the CDC uses to establish national prevalence for NDs such as ADHD and autism through their national phone survey of parent responses (http://www.cdc.gov/od/oc/media/transcripts/ASDMMWRfactSheet.pdf). Generation Rescue chose to focus on children ages 4-17 to match the age range used by CDC. Are parent responses a reliable indicator of a child’s diagnostic status?

According to Dr. Laura Schieve, co-author of the CDC’s national phone survey study, in discussing the CDC’s two phone surveys on autism prevalence, “the consistency of prevalence estimates across the two surveys supports high reliability or reproducibility of parental report of autism and reliability is one important component of validity.”

SurveyUSA is a well-known national opinion research firm with unique expertise in canvassing local communities. SurveyUSA has no vested interest in any outcome this or any survey might produce. You can see a copy of the questionnaire used in the survey here(http://www.generationrescue.org/pdf/questions.pdf). The data the survey intended to capture included:

To debunk that a promoters of  MMR vaccinations on CNN pointed to a chart that showed the rate of  autism increasing as the vaccination dose was decreasing , thus discrediting the idea MMR’s were responsible.  Well something is sure responsible:

Autism rates climbed nearly 30% between 2008 and 2010 and have more than doubled since the turn of the century, according to a new study from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The condition is now believed to affect one of every 68 8-year-olds – up from one in 88 just two years earlier.

That means virtually every grade in every elementary school has at least one child with autism – a seemingly astonishing rise for a condition that was nearly unheard of a generation ago.  Source:

And in the four years since then:

Autism rates in 2014 are now roughly 30 percent higher than they were just two years ago, according to new data released by the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

One in 68 children have now been identified with autism spectrum disorder (ASD), up from the one-in-88 children statistic from a 2012 CDC report. The risk varies greatly by state, too. In Alabama, 1 in 175 children are diagnosed with ASD. In New Jersey, that number is 1 in 45 kids.  Source:

And there are other reasons than autism for parents to be concerned about vaccinating their kids:

A study from the 1990s has come to light, proving that compared to unvaccinated children, vaccinated children were more likely to suffer from asthma, eczema, ear infections, hyperactivity and many other chronic conditions. Furthermore, the study identified that there was a ten-fold increase in the incidence of tonsillitis in the children who were vaccinated, and a total lack tonsillectomy operations among the children who were unvaccinated.

In 1992, the Immunization Awareness Society (IAS) conducted a survey to examine the health of New Zealand’s children. Unsurprisingly, the results of their study indicated that unvaccinated children were far healthier than vaccinated children.

Questionnaires were given out to IAS members, their friends and their associates asking various health questions. A total of 245 families returned their questionnaires, giving the researchers a total of 495 children surveyed. Of these children, 226 were vaccinated and 269 were unvaccinated.

And this from Germany in 2011:

A German study released in September 2011 of about 8000 UNVACCINATED children, newborn to 19 years, show vaccinated children have at least 2 to 5 times more diseases and disorders than unvaccinated children.

The data was collected from parents with vaccine-free children via an internet questionnaire by vaccineinjury.info and Andreas Bachmair, a German classical homeopathic practitioner. The independent study is self-funded and is not sponsored by a large “credible” non-profit or government health organization with political and financial conflicts of interest; hence Bachmair relies on Google ads and donations for revenue. Each one of the 8000 cases are actual cases with medical documentation. Three other studies had similar results according to Bachmair and are reported below.

No study of health outcomes of vaccinated people versus unvaccinated has ever been conducted in the U.S. by CDC or any other agency in the 50 years or more of an accelerating schedule of vaccinations (now over 50 doses of 14 vaccines given before kindergarten, 26 doses in the first year). Most data collected by CDC is contained in the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) database. The VAERS is generally thought to contain only 3 to 5 percent of reportable incidents. This is simply because only some immediate reactions are reported by doctors; but many are not admitted to be reactions to the vaccine. Most importantly, the VAERS numbers are only immediate reactions, which I would place with a few hours to a few weeks. Long-term vaccine-induced diseases and disorders are not recognized by parents or doctors when these conditions develop perhaps a few months to five years or more and would never be realized to come from multiple vaccinations. In other words, many children and adults have diseases and disorders that are vaccine induced and they never suspect they are from the vaccines, as this study indicates.

The comparisons of the health of vaccine-free children with the health statistics of the general population are the same as comparing unvaccinated with vaccinated. This is simply because the general population of U.S. children are nearly 100 percent vaccinated.  Source:

One last study from Oregon:

Interviews were successfully completed in 11,817 households with one or more children age 4 to 17. From those 11,817 households, data on 17,674 children was gathered. Of the 17,674 children inventoried, 991 were described as being completely unvaccinated. For each unvaccinated child, a health battery was administered.

Results:

All vaccinated boys, compared to unvaccinated boys:

– Vaccinated boys were 155% more likely to have a neurological disorder (RR 2.55)

– Vaccinated boys were 224% more likely to have ADHD (RR 3.24)

– Vaccinated boys were 61% more likely to have autism (RR 1.61) Older vaccinated boys, ages 11-17 (about half the boys surveyed), compared to older unvaccinated boys:

– Vaccinated boys were 158% more likely to have a neurological disorder (RR 2.58)

– Vaccinated boys were 317% more likely to have ADHD (RR 4.17)

– Vaccinated boys were 112% more likely to have autism (RR 2.12)

(Note: older children may be a more reliable indicator because many children are not diagnosed until they are 6-8 years old, and we captured data beginning at age 4.) All vaccinated boys, removing one county with unusual results (Multnomah, OR), compared to unvaccinated boys:

– Vaccinated boys were 185% more likely to have a neurological disorder (RR 2.85)

– Vaccinated boys were 279% more likely to have ADHD (RR 3.79)

– Vaccinated boys were 146% more likely to have autism (RR 2.46)

All vaccinated boys and girls, compared to unvaccinated boys and girls: – Vaccinated boys and girls were 120% more likely to have asthma (RR 2.20) – No correlation established for juvenile diabetes

All vaccinated girls, compared to unvaccinated girls:

– No meaningful differences in prevalence were noted for NDs (which may be due to the smaller sample size of the study because girls represent about 20% of cases.)

This is beside the point that Most Children Who Catch Measles Were Already Vaccinated:

Medical authorities eager to vaccinate maintain it takes a population vaccination rate of 90% to ensure an “immunized” disease will not break out within that community. This high percentage was contrived as necessary for “herd immunity,” which would prevent any outbreak from occurring.

That has been proven false. Basic logic begs the question: Why do so many have to be vaccinated if those who are vaccinated are immune? Could it be that the vaccinated are not really immune. One thing is for certain, vaccinating 90% of all populations creates more revenue.

If the herd is immune what difference does it make if an infected outsider comes in?  Speaking of outsiders, I’d lay odds that the first case in this outbreak came from south of the border.

My conclusions:

Those people who distrust the government’s push to have them vaccinated their kids have just cause.

Update: 2/4/2015

A friend of mine, Christopher Lee Crowell.  who thinks I am crazy brought this to my attention:

Ever since the anti-vaccine movement started backing away the now thoroughly discredited claim that the thimerosal in preservatives cause autism and the even more thoroughly discredited claim that the MMR vaccine causes autism and pivoted to readjust its reality to embrace the idea that it’s all about “too many too soon” and “toxins” in vaccines (even though that’s scientifically unsupported too), they’ve been clamoring for what they like to call a “vaxed-unvaxed study.” Basically, this is a study of vaccinated children versus unvaccinated children. At first, having no concept of medical ethics, anti-vaccine activists demanded a prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, apparently not realizing how utterly unethical such a study would be, given that it would leave the placebo control group unprotected against potentially dangerous childhood illnesses. Eventually, it started to sink in that such a study is neither feasible nor ethical (although sadly this wasn’t the case for all anti-vaccine loons). When that finally happened, it wasso cute to see anti-vaccine activists try to propose epidemiological studies. Basically, it’s painfully obvious that anti-vaccine activists don’t understand the issues involved, particularly the size of the study that would be required, the difficulty in controlling for confounding factors in the sorts of designs that would be required (such as case-control, for example), and how expensive such a study would be. Also, to meet ethical standards, such a study would have to have a decent amount of preliminary data to support its hypothesis that vaccines cause autism (or whatever), and there is none, at least none not coming from anti-vaccine loons or investigators somehow associated with anti-vaccine loons.

Not that that’s totally stopped anti-vaxers from trying to do such a study.

For example, four years ago, J.B. Handley’s (now Jenny McCarthy’s) anti-vaccine propaganda group Generation Rescue did what was billed as a “study” of vaccinated versus unvaccinated children. It was nothing of the sort. Rather, it was a poorly designed phone survey whose results in some groups suggested that vaccines protected against autism, although Generation Rescue spun it as supporting the vaccine-autism hypothesis. Of course, the whole survey was so ridiculously badly designed that you really couldn’t tell anything from it at all, given its selection bias and failure to control for confounders, but that doesn’t stop it from periodically rising from the grave and shambling off to feast on the brains of antivaxers, who then cite it as though it’s evidence of anything other than the incompetence of Generation Rescue at any sort of research.

Now they’re at it again, although it’s not Generation Rescue who did this new “study.” Even so, not surprisingly, the anti-vaccine propaganda blog Age of Autism is nonetheless promoting it under the title Vax UnVax Study Results, as is the one anti-vaccine website that can challenge NaturalNews.com for the sheer intensity of its burning stupid, Child Health Safety, which is promoting the study/survey breathlessly as New Survey Shows Unvaccinated Children Vastly Healthier – Far Lower Rates of Chronic Conditions and Autism.

Extracted from:

A survey administered by a German anti-vaccine homeopath backfires spectacularly: Posted by Orac on August 24, 2011.

I would simply ask Christopher Lee Crowell and his ilk what is causing the exponential growth rate in autism which is correlated with the switch from individual vaccinations to MMR vaccinations.

Update 2/6/2-15

While doing some more research on measles vaccinations I cam across this written back in 2008: Measles: The Grim Reality.

What does the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) have to say to parents about measles?

Before measles immunization was available, nearly everyone in the U.S. got measles. An average of 450 measles-associated deaths were reported each year between 1953 and 1963.

Was measles a major health problem between 1953 and 1963? Were parents begging for a vaccine? Terrified that their child would die or be permanently damaged by a dangerous disease? Well, no. Some here could give their answer to that question, but better still, ask your parents, and grand-parents what they thought about measles.  Find out who in your family was “at risk” of serious complications or death.

The big question, when you see a death rate, is how many deaths occur in relation to the total number of cases? The reported cases, with something like measles, are always going to be much lower than the total cases, and reported cases will generally be more severe, more likely to be hospitalized, and more likely to have a bad outcome.  I had measles when I was eight, but my parents didn’t report my case of measles, I never saw a doctor and no one in my family (including two younger siblings) caught it from me. Here, from the CDC Pink Book, is the complete story:

Before 1963, approximately 500,000 cases and 500 deaths were reported annually, with epidemic cycles every 2–3 years. However, the actual number of cases was estimated at 3–4 million annually. More than 50% of persons had measles by age 6, and more than 90% had measles by age 15. The highest incidence was among 5–9-year-olds, who generally accounted for more than 50% of reported cases.

So, what was the death rate? I’m going to take the 3 million cases and the 450 annual deaths: One death for every 6,500 cases approximately. This is why parents tried to expose their children to measles, rather than being terrified that they might catch measles. Everyone knew that measles is more dangerous in adults, so you wanted to be sure that your kid had them during childhood.

Update 2/11/2-15:

How Vaccinated Kids Infect The Non-Vaccinated

The study also indicated that two of the five strains of rotavirus within the Rotateq reassorted to produce a more harmful virus either within the vaccinated infant or within the subsequently infected unvaccinated sibling:

“Results of our investigation suggest that reassortment between vaccine component strains of genotypes P7[5]G1 and P1A[8]G6 occurred during replication either in the vaccinated infant or in the older sibling, raising the possibility that this reassortment may have increased the virulence of the vaccine-derived virus.”

This phenomenon of Rotateq vaccine strain ​reassortment and subsequent gastoenteritis infection in vaccine recipients was also observed in a 2012 study in 61 infants.[2] Additionally, A Nicaraguan study published in 2012 found “the widespread use of the RotaTeq vaccine has led to the introduction of vaccine genes into circulating human RVs.,” revealing that the widespread introduction of the vaccine strain has altered the genetic makeup of wild-type rotavirus that now infects exposed populations.[3]

It has been estimated that between 80-100% of infants shed rotavirus at some point during 25-28 days after vaccination.[4][5] This reveals that the vaccinated, contrary to widespread assumptions about the the risks represented by the non-vaccinated, pose a clear risk of infecting the non-vaccinated, and may be producing the ideal virological conditions for the recombination of diverse rotavirus strains into vaccine-resistant ‘super viruses.’

[Snip]

The Rotateq Vaccine: Shot Through with Conflict of Interest

The Rotateq rotavirus vaccine was co-created by Dr. Paul Offit, widely recognized as the vaccine industry’s leading promoter and apologist. He is the co-patent holder of one of two live rotavirus vaccines the FDA has approved, and which the CDC recommends should be administered to infants in 3 doses at ages 2 months, 4 months, and 6 months.

Historically incapable of self-recusal, despite his glaring conflicts of interest, Offit regularly positions himself as an expert on vaccines, even though he personally gains from presenting his product (and the CDC’s vaccine schedule as a whole) as safe and effective.  Case in point, in one notorious interview in Parenting magazine he claimed a child can receive 10,000 vaccines simultaneously without harm (corrected from 100,000 which he suggested in a previous interview).

The Rotavirus Vaccine Was Dirty from the Start

The first rotavirus vaccine – Rotashield – comprised of four reassorted rhesus-human rotaviruses was approved in 1999, only to be withdrawn from the market by the FDA nine months later when it was found to increase the risk for a deadly form of bowel obstruction known as intussusception in a small subset of highly vulnerable children.[6]

Offit’s Rotateq, which consists of 5 reassorted human-bovine retroviruses (yes, that means GMO), was believed to be a safer alternative when it was approved by the FDA in 2006, but newly published research reveals his vaccine suffers from the same exact deadly problems.

Comparison of virus shedding after lived attenuated and pentavalent reassortant rotavirus vaccine.

Abstract

The increased risk of intussusception after vaccination with the rhesus-human reassortant rotavirus vaccine Rotashield led to its withdrawal in 2005. We assess the risk of intussusception following the pentavalent rotavirus vaccine (RV5) on the basis of worldwide reports to the manufacturer up to May 2014, using a self-controlled case series. The method had to be modified to account for the under-reporting, a specific feature of pharmacovigilance spontaneous reports. The risk of intussusception occurring in either of the 0- to 2-day, 3- to 7-day or 8- to 14-day risk periods, was compared to the risk in the 15- to 30-day period. A total of 502 cases occurring 0–30 days after a vaccine dose were studied, including 188 cases after the first dose, 190 cases after the second dose, and 124 cases after the third dose. The incidence risk ratio relative to the control period was highest for the 3- to 7-day period and equal to 3.45 (95% CI 1.84–6.55), 1.63 (0.86–3.13) and 1.73 (0.86–3.51) after the first, second and third dose, respectively. Rotavirus vaccination with RV5 increases the risk of intussusception 3–7 days following vaccination, mainly after the first dose and marginally after the second and third doses. The risk is small and restricted to a short time window. It does not outweigh the benefit of the vaccination, but parents of vaccinated infants should be informed in order to react appropriately to the first symptoms. With appropriate assumptions about the reporting rate, spontaneous reports of adverse events after vaccination can be studied to evaluate vaccine safety.

Merging Risks of Live Virus & Virus Vectored Vaccines: Vaccine Strain Virus Infection, Shedding & Transmission

Can People Receiving Live Virus Vaccines Transmit Vaccine Strain Virus to Others? Public health officials say that unvaccinated children pose a big danger to those around them and even threaten the health of fully vaccinated children and adults because vaccines can fail to prevent infection in vaccinated persons.1 Today, the most common argument used to justify “no exceptions” mandatory vaccination laws is that unvaccinated people pose a serious health threat to others who “cannot be vaccinated,” such as the immunocompromised.2 Some parents of unvaccinated children are asking the opposite question: Could my unvaccinated or immune compromised child get sick from coming in contact with a recently vaccinated person? When it comes to live virus vaccines, the short answer is: Yes

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